SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Reggina had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Reggina win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Reggina |
53.88% ( -0.02) | 24.84% ( 0.01) | 21.27% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.05% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.45% ( -0.02) | 53.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.94% ( -0.02) | 75.06% ( 0.02) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.17% ( -0.01) | 19.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.08% ( -0.02) | 51.92% ( 0.02) |
| Reggina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.94% ( 0) | 40.06% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.3% | 76.7% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Reggina |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 53.88% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.33% 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.32% Total : 21.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 58 |
| 2 | Genoa | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 47 |
| 3 | BariBari | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 46 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 44 |
| 5 | Pisa | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | RegginaReggina | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | Parma | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | CagliariCagliari | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 38 |
| 9 | Palermo | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | AscoliAscoli | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 36 |
| 11 | Modena | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 35 |
| 12 | Ternana | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 35 |
| 13 | Cittadella | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 | Como | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 32 |
| 15 | Perugia | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 30 |
| 16 | VeneziaVenezia | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 29 |
| 17 | BeneventoBenevento | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 27 |
| 18 | Brescia | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 26 |
| 19 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 26 |
| 20 | SPALSPAL | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 25 |
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