SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sudtirol | Draw | Ternana |
37.37% ( 0.49) | 26.7% ( 0.04) | 35.93% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.85% ( -0.16) | 53.14% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.28% ( -0.14) | 74.72% ( 0.14) |
| Sudtirol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( 0.21) | 27.54% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.94% ( 0.27) | 63.05% ( -0.27) |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( -0.39) | 28.39% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.85% ( -0.5) | 64.14% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sudtirol | Draw | Ternana |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.04% Total : 37.37% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 57 | 22 | 35 | 74 |
| 2 | Genoa | 36 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 22 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | BariBari | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 33 | 21 | 62 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 36 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 57 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 54 |
| 6 | Parma | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Palermo | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Pisa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 46 |
| 9 | VeneziaVenezia | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
| 10 | AscoliAscoli | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 46 |
| 11 | RegginaReggina | 36 | 16 | 4 | 16 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 45 |
| 12 | Modena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 45 |
| 13 | Como | 36 | 9 | 16 | 11 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 43 |
| 14 | Ternana | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 39 |
| 17 | Brescia | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 38 |
| 18 | Perugia | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 36 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 32 |
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