SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 54.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Como had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | Como |
54.52% ( 0.09) | 24.51% ( -0.04) | 20.97% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.59% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.38% ( 0.09) | 52.62% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.73% ( 0.08) | 74.27% ( -0.08) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( 0.07) | 19.22% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.07% ( 0.12) | 50.93% ( -0.12) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.16% ( 0) | 39.84% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.49% ( 0) | 76.5% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ascoli | Draw | Como |
| 1-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 54.51% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.51% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)0-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.34% Total : 20.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 67 |
| 2 | Genoa | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 63 |
| 3 | BariBari | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 50 | 30 | 20 | 57 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 52 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 48 |
| 6 | Parma | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 48 |
| 7 | Pisa | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 46 |
| 8 | RegginaReggina | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | Modena | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 43 |
| 10 | Palermo | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 43 |
| 11 | Ternana | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 43 |
| 12 | AscoliAscoli | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 42 |
| 13 | Como | 33 | 9 | 14 | 10 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 41 |
| 14 | VeneziaVenezia | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 37 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 37 |
| 17 | Brescia | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 35 |
| 18 | Perugia | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 34 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 33 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 30 |
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