Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Cagliari.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 46.16%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 26.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.
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