SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Venezia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Benevento | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | SPAL | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Modena | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Ternana | 3 | -3 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Modena had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cagliari in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Modena |
37.23% ( 0.28) | 27.13% ( 0.07) | 35.64% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 50.49% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.1% ( -0.27) | 54.9% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.81% ( -0.22) | 76.19% ( 0.23) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.54% ( 0.04) | 28.46% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.77% ( 0.05) | 64.23% ( -0.05) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.57% ( -0.35) | 29.43% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.58% ( -0.42) | 65.42% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Modena |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.23% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 48 |
| 2 | Genoa | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 40 |
| 3 | RegginaReggina | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 39 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 35 |
| 5 | BariBari | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 33 |
| 6 | CagliariCagliari | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | Ternana | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Pisa | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 31 |
| 9 | Modena | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 31 |
| 10 | Palermo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 31 |
| 11 | Parma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 30 |
| 12 | AscoliAscoli | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 26 |
| 13 | Como | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 26 |
| 14 | Brescia | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | SPALSPAL | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 24 |
| 16 | Cittadella | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 24 |
| 17 | BeneventoBenevento | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 23 |
| 18 | Perugia | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
| 19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 21 |
| 20 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 21 |
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