SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Cagliari |
39.39% ( 0.24) | 25.19% ( -0.01) | 35.41% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 56.93% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.33% ( 0.02) | 46.67% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.07% ( 0.02) | 68.93% ( -0.03) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( 0.14) | 23.46% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.52% ( 0.2) | 57.48% ( -0.2) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( -0.12) | 25.62% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.49% ( -0.16) | 60.51% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezia | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 39.39% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.86% 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 86 |
| 2 | Lazio | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 28 | 27 | 68 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 36 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 66 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 59 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 50 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 42 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 33 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 30 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 36 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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