SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Brescia |
33.83% ( 0.29) | 25.8% ( 0.1) | 40.37% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.38% ( -0.39) | 49.61% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.36% ( -0.35) | 71.63% ( 0.34) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( -0.01) | 27.97% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.39% ( -0.01) | 63.6% ( 0) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.72% ( -0.38) | 24.27% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.36% ( -0.54) | 58.64% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Brescia |
| 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 33.83% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 61 |
| 2 | BariBari | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 49 |
| 3 | Genoa | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 47 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 47 |
| 5 | Pisa | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | RegginaReggina | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | Parma | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Palermo | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | AscoliAscoli | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Ternana | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 36 |
| 12 | Modena | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 35 |
| 13 | Como | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 35 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | Perugia | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 30 |
| 16 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 29 |
| 17 | SPALSPAL | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 28 |
| 18 | BeneventoBenevento | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 28 |
| 19 | Brescia | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 27 |
| 20 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 26 |
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