SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cosenza Calcio | Draw | Ascoli |
32.89% ( 0.25) | 28.83% ( 0.27) | 38.28% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 45.11% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.57% ( -0.89) | 61.42% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.69% ( -0.67) | 81.31% ( 0.67) |
| Cosenza Calcio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.42% ( -0.29) | 34.58% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.7% ( -0.31) | 71.3% ( 0.31) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% ( -0.76) | 31.04% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.64% ( -0.9) | 67.36% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cosenza Calcio | Draw | Ascoli |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.24% Total : 32.89% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.82% | 0-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.06% Total : 38.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 77 |
| 2 | Genoa | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 70 |
| 3 | BariBari | 37 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 65 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Parma | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 57 |
| 7 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 49 |
| 8 | Palermo | 37 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Pisa | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 47 |
| 10 | RegginaReggina | 37 | 16 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 47 |
| 11 | AscoliAscoli | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 37 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Modena | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Ternana | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 17 | Brescia | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 39 |
| 18 | Perugia | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 35 |
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