SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pisa | Draw | Ascoli |
46.63% ( 0.09) | 25.96% ( -0.01) | 27.42% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.18% ( 0.01) | 52.83% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.56% ( 0.01) | 74.45% ( -0) |
| Pisa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% ( 0.04) | 22.64% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.73% ( 0.06) | 56.27% ( -0.06) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% ( -0.05) | 34.11% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.2% ( -0.06) | 70.8% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pisa | Draw | Ascoli |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 46.62% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 68 |
| 2 | Genoa | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 67 |
| 3 | BariBari | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 61 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 35 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 54 |
| 5 | Parma | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 52 |
| 6 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Pisa | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 46 |
| 8 | RegginaReggina | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | AscoliAscoli | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 46 |
| 10 | VeneziaVenezia | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 45 |
| 11 | Palermo | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 45 |
| 12 | Modena | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 44 |
| 13 | Como | 35 | 9 | 16 | 10 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 43 |
| 14 | Ternana | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 38 |
| 16 | Brescia | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 38 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 |
| 18 | Perugia | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 35 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 32 |
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