SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Reggina in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | Reggina |
33.24% ( 0.57) | 29.33% ( 0.28) | 37.43% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 43.8% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.94% ( -0.84) | 63.06% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.49% ( -0.61) | 82.51% ( 0.61) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.79% ( -0.04) | 35.2% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.04% ( -0.05) | 71.96% ( 0.05) |
| Reggina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.59% ( -0.95) | 32.41% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.08% ( -1.09) | 68.92% ( 1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ascoli | Draw | Reggina |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.13% Total : 33.24% | 1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.32% | 0-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.73% Total : 37.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 77 |
| 2 | Genoa | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 70 |
| 3 | BariBari | 37 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 65 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Parma | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 57 |
| 7 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 49 |
| 8 | Palermo | 37 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Pisa | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 47 |
| 10 | RegginaReggina | 37 | 16 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 47 |
| 11 | AscoliAscoli | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 37 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Modena | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Ternana | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 17 | Brescia | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 39 |
| 18 | Perugia | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 35 |
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