SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Reggina win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reggina | Draw | Bari |
32.51% ( -0.36) | 29.09% ( 0.15) | 38.4% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 44.32% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.65% ( -0.54) | 62.35% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.01% ( -0.39) | 81.99% ( 0.39) |
| Reggina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.65% ( -0.54) | 35.34% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.89% ( -0.57) | 72.11% ( 0.57) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% ( -0.14) | 31.44% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.18% ( -0.16) | 67.82% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reggina | Draw | Bari |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.1% Total : 32.5% | 1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.08% | 0-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.96% Total : 38.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 77 |
| 2 | Genoa | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 70 |
| 3 | BariBari | 37 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 65 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Parma | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 57 |
| 7 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 49 |
| 8 | Palermo | 37 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Pisa | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 47 |
| 10 | RegginaReggina | 37 | 16 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 47 |
| 11 | AscoliAscoli | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 37 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Modena | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Ternana | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 17 | Brescia | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 39 |
| 18 | Perugia | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 35 |
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