SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 46.93%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Bari had a probability of 24.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Bari win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | Bari |
46.93% ( 0.01) | 28.25% ( -0.01) | 24.81% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.69% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.52% ( 0.03) | 62.48% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.91% ( 0.02) | 82.09% ( -0.02) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( 0.02) | 26.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.93% ( 0.03) | 62.06% ( -0.03) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.3% ( 0.01) | 41.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.83% ( 0.01) | 78.17% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cittadella | Draw | Bari |
| 1-0 @ 14.71% 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 46.93% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.24% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.25% 2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 1.18% Total : 24.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 68 |
| 2 | Genoa | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 67 |
| 3 | BariBari | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 61 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 35 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 54 |
| 5 | Parma | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 52 |
| 6 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Pisa | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 46 |
| 8 | RegginaReggina | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | AscoliAscoli | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 46 |
| 10 | VeneziaVenezia | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 45 |
| 11 | Palermo | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 45 |
| 12 | Modena | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 44 |
| 13 | Como | 35 | 9 | 16 | 10 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 43 |
| 14 | Ternana | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 38 |
| 16 | Brescia | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 38 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 |
| 18 | Perugia | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 35 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 32 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
