SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Cittadella |
48.18% ( -0.01) | 26.96% ( 0.01) | 24.87% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 46.08% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.84% ( -0.02) | 58.16% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.18% ( -0.02) | 78.82% ( 0.02) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.78% ( -0.01) | 24.22% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.44% ( -0.02) | 58.56% ( 0.02) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.8% ( -0.01) | 39.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.09% ( -0.01) | 75.91% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Cittadella |
| 1-0 @ 13.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 48.17% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.46% Total : 24.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 66 |
| 2 | Genoa | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 60 |
| 3 | BariBari | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 48 | 28 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 52 |
| 5 | RegginaReggina | 32 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 48 |
| 6 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 47 |
| 7 | Parma | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 47 |
| 8 | Pisa | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 46 |
| 9 | Palermo | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Modena | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 42 |
| 11 | Como | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 40 |
| 12 | Ternana | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 40 |
| 13 | AscoliAscoli | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 39 |
| 14 | VeneziaVenezia | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 35 |
| 17 | Perugia | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 34 |
| 18 | SPALSPAL | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Brescia | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 31 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 29 |
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