SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Ascoli |
42.13% ( 1.71) | 26.07% ( -0.04) | 31.79% ( -1.68) |
| Both teams to score 53.01% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.69% ( -0.29) | 51.3% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% ( -0.25) | 73.13% ( 0.25) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( 0.75) | 24.13% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.56% ( 1.05) | 58.43% ( -1.06) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% ( -1.25) | 30.12% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.73% ( -1.52) | 66.26% ( 1.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Como | Draw | Ascoli |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.75% Total : 42.12% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.2)Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 77 |
| 2 | Genoa | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 70 |
| 3 | BariBari | 37 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 65 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Parma | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 57 |
| 7 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 49 |
| 8 | Palermo | 37 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Pisa | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 47 |
| 10 | RegginaReggina | 37 | 16 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 47 |
| 11 | AscoliAscoli | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 37 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Modena | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Ternana | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 17 | Brescia | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 39 |
| 18 | Perugia | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 35 |
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