SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Como had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Parma |
35.73% ( 0.01) | 25.91% ( -0) | 38.36% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.49% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.17% ( 0.01) | 49.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.17% ( 0.01) | 71.83% ( -0.01) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( 0.02) | 26.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.75% ( 0.02) | 62.25% ( -0.02) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% ( -0) | 25.44% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.74% | 60.26% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Como | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.84% 0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 57 | 22 | 35 | 74 |
| 2 | Genoa | 36 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 22 | 25 | 70 |
| 3 | BariBari | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 33 | 21 | 62 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 36 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 57 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 54 |
| 6 | Parma | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 54 |
| 7 | Palermo | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Pisa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 46 |
| 9 | VeneziaVenezia | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
| 10 | AscoliAscoli | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 46 |
| 11 | RegginaReggina | 36 | 16 | 4 | 16 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 45 |
| 12 | Modena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 45 |
| 13 | Como | 36 | 9 | 16 | 11 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 43 |
| 14 | Ternana | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 39 |
| 17 | Brescia | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 38 |
| 18 | Perugia | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 36 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 32 |
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