SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Parma had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Frosinone | Draw | Parma |
51.94% ( 0.17) | 25.65% ( -0.05) | 22.41% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 47.19% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.57% ( 0.06) | 55.42% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.38% ( 0.05) | 76.62% ( -0.05) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% ( 0.1) | 21.38% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.63% ( 0.15) | 54.36% ( -0.15) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.02% ( -0.08) | 39.98% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.37% ( -0.08) | 76.63% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Frosinone | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 13.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.93% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.34% Total : 22.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 66 |
| 2 | Genoa | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 60 |
| 3 | BariBari | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 48 | 28 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 52 |
| 5 | RegginaReggina | 32 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 48 |
| 6 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 47 |
| 7 | Parma | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 47 |
| 8 | Pisa | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 46 |
| 9 | Palermo | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Modena | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 42 |
| 11 | Como | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 40 |
| 12 | Ternana | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 40 |
| 13 | AscoliAscoli | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 39 |
| 14 | VeneziaVenezia | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 35 |
| 17 | Perugia | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 34 |
| 18 | SPALSPAL | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Brescia | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 31 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 29 |
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