SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Frosinone | Draw | Cittadella |
51.91% ( 0.09) | 26.83% ( -0.04) | 21.27% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 42.77% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.5% ( 0.09) | 60.5% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.38% ( 0.07) | 80.62% ( -0.06) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.47% ( 0.08) | 23.53% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.43% ( 0.11) | 57.58% ( -0.11) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.93% ( -0) | 44.08% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.82% ( -0) | 80.19% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Frosinone | Draw | Cittadella |
| 1-0 @ 15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 51.9% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)2-3 @ 1% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 62 |
| 2 | Genoa | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 56 |
| 3 | SudtirolSudtirol | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 51 |
| 4 | BariBari | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Pisa | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | CagliariCagliari | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 45 |
| 7 | RegginaReggina | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 42 |
| 8 | Palermo | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 42 |
| 9 | Parma | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 41 |
| 10 | Como | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Modena | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 38 |
| 12 | AscoliAscoli | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 36 |
| 13 | Ternana | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 36 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 | Perugia | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 33 |
| 16 | VeneziaVenezia | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 33 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 32 |
| 18 | BeneventoBenevento | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 29 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 28 |
| 20 | Brescia | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 28 |
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