SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 51.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Como had a probability of 23.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benevento | Draw | Como |
51.27% ( 0.04) | 25.38% ( -0.01) | 23.35% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.01% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.42% ( 0.02) | 53.58% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.91% ( 0.02) | 75.09% ( -0.01) |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( 0.02) | 20.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.36% ( 0.04) | 53.64% ( -0.03) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.97% ( -0.01) | 38.03% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.2% ( -0.01) | 74.8% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benevento | Draw | Como |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 51.26% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 23.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 68 |
| 2 | Genoa | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 67 |
| 3 | BariBari | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 61 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 35 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 54 |
| 5 | Parma | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 52 |
| 6 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Pisa | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 46 |
| 8 | RegginaReggina | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | AscoliAscoli | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 46 |
| 10 | VeneziaVenezia | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 45 |
| 11 | Palermo | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 45 |
| 12 | Modena | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 44 |
| 13 | Como | 35 | 9 | 16 | 10 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 43 |
| 14 | Ternana | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 38 |
| 16 | Brescia | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 38 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 |
| 18 | Perugia | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 35 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 32 |
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