SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 45.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 27.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | Venezia |
45.18% ( 0.02) | 27.46% ( -0.01) | 27.35% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.58% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.53% ( 0.01) | 58.47% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.94% ( 0.01) | 79.05% ( -0.01) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( 0.02) | 25.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.23% ( 0.02) | 60.77% ( -0.02) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.79% ( -0.01) | 37.21% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26% ( -0.01) | 74% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ascoli | Draw | Venezia |
| 1-0 @ 13% 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 45.17% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.75% Total : 27.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 57 | 22 | 35 | 74 |
| 2 | Genoa | 36 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 22 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | BariBari | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 33 | 21 | 62 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 36 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 57 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 54 |
| 6 | Parma | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Palermo | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Pisa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 46 |
| 9 | VeneziaVenezia | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
| 10 | AscoliAscoli | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 46 |
| 11 | RegginaReggina | 36 | 16 | 4 | 16 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 45 |
| 12 | Modena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 45 |
| 13 | Como | 36 | 9 | 16 | 11 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 43 |
| 14 | Ternana | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 39 |
| 17 | Brescia | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 38 |
| 18 | Perugia | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 36 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 32 |
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