Feb 11, 2023 at 3.15pm UK at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Ascoli
1 - 0
Perugia
Collocolo (60')
Caligara (28'),
Bellusci (28'), Collocolo (38'),
Buchel (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Perugia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Perugia win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ascoli in this match.
| Result |
| Ascoli | Draw | Perugia |
42.33% ( 0.01) | 27.79% ( -0) | 29.88% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.07% ( 0.01) |
| 41.47% ( 0.01) | 58.53% ( -0.01) |
| 20.9% ( 0.01) | 79.1% ( -0.01) |
| 72.68% ( 0.01) | 27.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.23% ( 0.01) | 62.76% ( -0.01) |
| 64.76% ( 0) | 35.23% ( -0) |
