SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perugia | Draw | Palermo |
37.95% ( 0.02) | 29.6% ( 0.01) | 32.44% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.95% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.98% ( -0.04) | 64.02% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.8% ( -0.03) | 83.2% ( 0.02) |
| Perugia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.42% ( -0.01) | 32.58% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.88% ( -0.01) | 69.12% ( 0.01) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% ( -0.04) | 36.3% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.92% ( -0.04) | 73.08% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perugia | Draw | Palermo |
| 1-0 @ 13.26% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.95% | 1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.6% | 0-1 @ 11.98% 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.07% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 32.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 55 |
| 2 | Genoa | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 46 |
| 3 | BariBari | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
| 4 | RegginaReggina | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 42 |
| 5 | SudtirolSudtirol | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 41 |
| 6 | Pisa | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 38 |
| 7 | Parma | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | CagliariCagliari | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 37 |
| 9 | Palermo | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 36 |
| 10 | Modena | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 35 |
| 11 | Ternana | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 34 |
| 12 | Cittadella | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 33 |
| 13 | AscoliAscoli | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Como | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Perugia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 29 |
| 16 | VeneziaVenezia | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 29 |
| 17 | BeneventoBenevento | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 26 |
| 18 | SPALSPAL | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 25 |
| 19 | Brescia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 25 |
| 20 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 23 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
