SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perugia | Draw | SPAL |
41.21% ( 0.03) | 27.62% ( 0.01) | 31.17% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.08% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.49% ( -0.05) | 57.51% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.7% ( -0.04) | 78.3% ( 0.04) |
| Perugia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.55% ( -0) | 27.44% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.07% ( -0) | 62.93% ( 0) |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.26% ( -0.05) | 33.74% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.6% ( -0.06) | 70.4% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perugia | Draw | SPAL |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.21% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 31.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 68 |
| 2 | Genoa | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 66 |
| 3 | BariBari | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 60 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 53 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 51 |
| 6 | Parma | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Pisa | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 46 |
| 8 | RegginaReggina | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | Modena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 | Palermo | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
| 11 | AscoliAscoli | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 43 |
| 12 | Ternana | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 13 | Como | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 42 |
| 14 | VeneziaVenezia | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 42 |
| 15 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 38 |
| 16 | Cittadella | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 37 |
| 17 | Perugia | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 36 |
| 18 | SPALSPAL | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 35 |
| 19 | Brescia | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 31 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
