SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perugia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Perugia | Draw | Venezia |
40.48% ( -0.26) | 28.84% ( 0.04) | 30.67% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.08% ( -0.07) | 61.91% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.32% ( -0.05) | 81.67% ( 0.05) |
| Perugia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% ( -0.19) | 29.98% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.9% ( -0.23) | 66.1% ( 0.23) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.53% ( 0.13) | 36.46% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.75% ( 0.13) | 73.25% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perugia | Draw | Venezia |
| 1-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.44% Total : 40.48% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.83% | 0-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 30.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 77 |
| 2 | Genoa | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 70 |
| 3 | BariBari | 37 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 65 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Parma | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 57 |
| 7 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 49 |
| 8 | Palermo | 37 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Pisa | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 47 |
| 10 | RegginaReggina | 37 | 16 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 47 |
| 11 | AscoliAscoli | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 37 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Modena | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Ternana | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 17 | Brescia | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 39 |
| 18 | Perugia | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 35 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
