SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palermo | Draw | Cagliari |
37.58% ( -0.18) | 27.41% ( -0.01) | 35.01% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 49.57% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.97% ( 0.06) | 56.03% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.89% ( 0.05) | 77.11% ( -0.05) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( -0.07) | 28.8% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.35% ( -0.09) | 64.65% ( 0.1) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% ( 0.16) | 30.38% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.43% ( 0.19) | 66.57% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palermo | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 77 |
| 2 | Genoa | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 70 |
| 3 | BariBari | 37 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 65 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Parma | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 57 |
| 7 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 49 |
| 8 | Palermo | 37 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Pisa | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 47 |
| 10 | RegginaReggina | 37 | 16 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 47 |
| 11 | AscoliAscoli | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 37 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Modena | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Ternana | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 17 | Brescia | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 39 |
| 18 | Perugia | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 35 |
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