SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benevento | Draw | Perugia |
53.71% ( 1) | 25.43% ( 0.01) | 20.86% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.87% ( -1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.86% ( -1.03) | 56.14% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.79% ( -0.85) | 77.21% ( 0.84) |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.06% ( -0) | 20.94% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.33% ( -0.01) | 53.67% ( 0.01) |
| Perugia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.02% ( -1.64) | 41.98% ( 1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.58% ( -1.45) | 78.42% ( 1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benevento | Draw | Perugia |
| 1-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.42)2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.71% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.11% Total : 20.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 77 |
| 2 | Genoa | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 70 |
| 3 | BariBari | 37 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 65 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Parma | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 57 |
| 7 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 49 |
| 8 | Palermo | 37 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Pisa | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 47 |
| 10 | RegginaReggina | 37 | 16 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 47 |
| 11 | AscoliAscoli | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 37 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Modena | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Ternana | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 17 | Brescia | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 39 |
| 18 | Perugia | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 35 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
