SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 47%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Benevento |
47% ( -0.08) | 26% ( 0.03) | 27% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.53% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.75% ( -0.06) | 53.25% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.19% ( -0.05) | 74.81% ( 0.06) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.35% ( -0.06) | 22.65% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.72% ( -0.09) | 56.28% ( 0.1) |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.32% ( 0.01) | 34.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.59% ( 0.01) | 71.4% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Benevento |
| 1-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 46.99% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 68 |
| 2 | Genoa | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 67 |
| 3 | BariBari | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 61 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 35 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 54 |
| 5 | Parma | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 52 |
| 6 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Pisa | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 46 |
| 8 | RegginaReggina | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | AscoliAscoli | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 46 |
| 10 | Palermo | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 45 |
| 11 | Modena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 44 |
| 12 | Como | 35 | 9 | 16 | 10 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 43 |
| 13 | Ternana | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | VeneziaVenezia | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 42 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 38 |
| 16 | Brescia | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 38 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 |
| 18 | Perugia | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 35 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 32 |
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