SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Cagliari |
36.56% ( -0.48) | 28.03% ( -0.13) | 35.42% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 47.72% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.65% ( 0.51) | 58.35% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.04% ( 0.4) | 78.96% ( -0.4) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.44% ( -0.04) | 30.56% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.21% ( -0.05) | 66.79% ( 0.05) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.72% ( 0.66) | 31.29% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.36% ( 0.76) | 67.64% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezia | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.56% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.98% Total : 35.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 80 |
| 2 | Genoa | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 73 |
| 3 | BariBari | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 65 |
| 4 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 60 |
| 5 | Parma | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
| 6 | SudtirolSudtirol | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 58 |
| 7 | RegginaReggina | 38 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 49 |
| 9 | Palermo | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
| 10 | Modena | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 48 |
| 11 | Pisa | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 47 |
| 13 | AscoliAscoli | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 47 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 15 | Ternana | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 43 |
| 16 | Brescia | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 40 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 40 |
| 18 | Perugia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 39 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 38 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
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