Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Como had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
Result | ||
Venezia | Draw | Como |
44.8% ( -0.3) | 26.28% ( -0.02) | 28.91% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 50.95% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.68% ( 0.23) | 53.31% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.14% ( 0.2) | 74.86% ( -0.19) |
Venezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.3% ( -0.04) | 23.7% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.18% ( -0.06) | 57.82% ( 0.07) |
Como Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.78% ( 0.37) | 33.22% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.17% ( 0.4) | 69.83% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Venezia | Draw | Como |
1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.8% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.46% Total : 28.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 77 |
2 | Genoa | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 70 |
3 | BariBari | 37 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 65 |
4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 58 |
5 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 57 |
6 | Parma | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 57 |
7 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Palermo | 37 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 48 |
9 | Pisa | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 47 |
10 | RegginaReggina | 37 | 16 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 47 |
11 | AscoliAscoli | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 47 |
12 | Como | 37 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
13 | Modena | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Ternana | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
15 | Cittadella | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
17 | Brescia | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 39 |
18 | Perugia | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 36 |
19 | SPALSPAL | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
20 | BeneventoBenevento | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 35 |
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