SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
41.11% ( 0) | 23.87% | 35.02% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 61.64% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.48% ( 0.01) | 40.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.1% ( 0.01) | 62.9% ( -0.01) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% ( 0) | 19.97% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.86% ( 0) | 52.14% ( -0) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( 0) | 22.98% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.23% ( 0) | 56.77% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% 1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.08% Total : 41.11% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.92% 2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.21% Total : 35.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 67 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 54 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 50 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 49 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 45 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 39 |
| 10 | Sochi | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
| 13 | Fakel | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 27 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 13 |
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