SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for York City had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | York City |
46.57% ( 0) | 24.53% ( -0) | 28.9% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 56.57% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.02% ( 0.01) | 45.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( 0.01) | 68.28% ( -0.01) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% ( 0) | 19.83% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.07% ( 0.01) | 51.92% ( -0.01) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% ( 0) | 29.43% ( -0) |
