SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 58.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Eastleigh |
58.33% ( 0.01) | 22.25% ( -0) | 19.41% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.16% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.67% ( -0.01) | 45.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.33% ( -0.01) | 67.67% ( 0.01) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.77% | 15.23% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.11% | 43.89% ( 0) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.71% ( -0.02) | 37.29% ( 0.02) |
