SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hartlepool United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Hartlepool United |
32.01% ( -1.64) | 25.26% ( -0.58) | 42.74% ( 2.22) |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( 1.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.25% ( 2.05) | 47.75% ( -2.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.06% ( 1.86) | 69.94% ( -1.86) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( -0.04) | 28.22% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.08% ( -0.05) | 63.92% ( 0.05) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.71% ( 2) | 22.29% ( -1.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.25% ( 2.91) | 55.75% ( -2.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.71) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.45)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.01% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.55)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.39)0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.31)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.23)0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.19)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 38 |
| 2 | Barnet | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Bromley | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 29 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 22 |
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 22 |
| 12 | Rochdale | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 20 |
| 13 | Woking | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
| 14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 17 |
| 16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
| 17 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 16 |
| 20 | York City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 15 |
| 21 | Oxford CityOxford City | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 14 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 13 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 13 |
| 24 | Fylde | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 10 |
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