SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Woking win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for York City had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Woking win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Woking | Draw | York City |
57.3% ( 0.96) | 22.78% ( -0.22) | 19.92% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 52.27% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.08% ( -0.02) | 46.92% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.83% ( -0.02) | 69.17% ( 0.02) |
| Woking Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.88% ( 0.32) | 16.13% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.45% ( 0.59) | 45.55% ( -0.58) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.33% ( -0.77) | 37.68% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.55% ( -0.76) | 74.46% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Woking | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 57.29% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.78% | 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.58% Total : 19.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 38 |
| 2 | Barnet | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Bromley | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 29 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 22 |
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 22 |
| 12 | Rochdale | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 20 |
| 13 | Woking | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
| 14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 17 |
| 16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
| 17 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 16 |
| 20 | York City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 15 |
| 21 | Oxford CityOxford City | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 14 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 13 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 13 |
| 24 | Fylde | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 10 |
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