SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | York City |
36.36% ( 0.58) | 25.87% ( -0.03) | 37.78% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 54.68% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.4% ( 0.18) | 49.6% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.37% ( 0.16) | 71.62% ( -0.16) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( 0.42) | 26.45% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.37% ( 0.56) | 61.63% ( -0.56) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( -0.22) | 25.65% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.45% ( -0.3) | 60.55% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.23% Total : 36.36% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.78% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 21 |
| 17 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
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