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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
LH

Lille
1 - 2
Le Havre

Akpom (90+7')
Mbappe Lottin (61'), Bakker (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mahgoub (38'), Soumare (56')
Zouaoui (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 1-1 Dunkerque (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, February 4 at 6pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Angers 1-1 Le Havre
Sunday, February 2 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 4-0 Le Havre

The home fans will hope the shellshock of Tuesday night's defeat will have worn off in time for this one, where Lille will be big favourites to bolster their top-four push, against the relegation candidates. Le Havre have taken more points away from home (eight) than they have managed at home this season (six), but at a venue where they barely manage to score a goal, never mind record a victory, this could be a long evening for the basement boys. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 74.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 9.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.87%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawLe Havre
74.16% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 16.36% (-0.012 -0.01) 9.48% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 46.28% (-0.189 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.41% (-0.131 -0.13)40.58% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.03% (-0.134 -0.13)62.97% (0.129 0.13)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.58% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)9.41% (0.0181 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.34% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)31.66% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.09% (-0.199 -0.2)48.9% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.11% (-0.142 -0.14)83.88% (0.13799999999999 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Lille 74.14%
    Le Havre 9.48%
    Draw 16.36%
LilleDrawLe Havre
2-0 @ 12.85% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 10.87% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 10.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.98% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.83% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.02% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 74.14%
1-1 @ 7.78% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.29% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 16.36%
0-1 @ 3.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 2.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 9.48%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Dunkerque (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, February 4 at 6pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lille 4-1 St Etienne
Saturday, February 1 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 6-1 Feyenoord
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Lille
Saturday, January 25 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Lille
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Nice
Friday, January 17 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-1 Le Havre
Sunday, February 2 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Brest
Sunday, January 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-1 Le Havre
Sunday, January 19 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-2 Lens
Sunday, January 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 5-1 Le Havre
Sunday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Stade Briochin 1-0 Le Havre
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France


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