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Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 4, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
1 - 1
Dunkerque

Dunkerque win 5-4 on penalties
Gomes (85')
Alexsandro (59'), Arnar Haraldsson (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tejan (90+5')
Sangante (59'), Senneville (76'), Tejan (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 4-1 St Etienne
Saturday, February 1 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 3-0 Dunkerque

Lille have beaten some of the top teams in Europe this season, and given their outstanding home form and attacking, we do not foresee them having trouble with a Dunkerque side that have been inconsistent domestically since the start of 2025. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 14.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (4.12%).

Result
LilleDrawDunkerque
66.57% (1.917 1.92) 19.11% (-0.957 -0.96) 14.33% (-0.958 -0.96)
Both teams to score 52.81% (0.877 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.63% (2.374 2.37)40.37% (-2.372 -2.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.26% (2.401 2.4)62.74% (-2.399 -2.4)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.74% (1.223 1.22)11.25% (-1.221 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.16% (2.605 2.61)35.84% (-2.602 -2.6)
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.51% (0.17 0.17)40.49% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.9% (0.153 0.15)77.1% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Lille 66.56%
    Dunkerque 14.33%
    Draw 19.11%
LilleDrawDunkerque
2-0 @ 10.87% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-0 @ 9.95% (-0.596 -0.6)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.92% (0.293 0.29)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.296 0.3)
4-0 @ 4.32% (0.356 0.36)
4-1 @ 3.91% (0.338 0.34)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.148 0.15)
5-0 @ 1.89% (0.238 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.161 0.16)
5-1 @ 1.71% (0.221 0.22)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 66.56%
1-1 @ 9% (-0.501 -0.5)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.515 -0.52)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.11%
0-1 @ 4.12% (-0.445 -0.45)
1-2 @ 4.07% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-2 @ 1.86% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 14.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lille 4-1 St Etienne
Saturday, February 1 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 6-1 Feyenoord
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Lille
Saturday, January 25 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Lille
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Nice
Friday, January 17 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Dunkerque 0-1 Martigues
Friday, January 31 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Annecy 0-2 Dunkerque
Monday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Haguenau 1-3 Dunkerque
Wednesday, January 22 at 4pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Dunkerque 0-1 Lorient
Saturday, January 18 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Pau 1-1 Dunkerque
Friday, January 10 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Guingamp 1-1 Dunkerque
Saturday, January 4 at 1pm in Ligue 2


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