Lille manager Genesio has only lost three of his 12 previous meetings against Strasbourg, but the Alsace club have not been playing at such a level for quite some time, and it should be a challenging evening for the visitors.
Now five games unbeaten, Strasbourg will fancy their chances of another result given their superb home form, and the fact that Lille enter the game on the back of a rare defeat.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
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