SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Auxerre |
39.42% ( 0.37) | 24.92% ( -0.05) | 35.65% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 57.92% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.59% ( 0.22) | 45.4% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.26% ( 0.21) | 67.74% ( -0.21) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% ( 0.29) | 22.89% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.36% ( 0.42) | 56.63% ( -0.42) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.11% ( -0.07) | 24.89% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.49% ( -0.1) | 59.5% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Auxerre |
| 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.42% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.65% |
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