SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Monaco |
25.79% ( -0.21) | 23.39% ( 0.03) | 50.82% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.83% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.85% ( -0.32) | 43.15% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.45% ( -0.32) | 65.55% ( 0.32) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( -0.34) | 30.27% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.56% ( -0.4) | 66.44% ( 0.4) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.94% ( -0.06) | 17.06% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.76% ( -0.1) | 47.24% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.05% Total : 25.79% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.69% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.99% Total : 50.82% |
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