SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 11.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 3-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Strasbourg |
73.22% ( 0.48) | 15.76% ( -0.28) | 11.01% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.9% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.34% ( 0.83) | 32.65% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.67% ( 0.96) | 54.32% ( -0.97) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.31% ( 0.29) | 7.68% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.6% ( 0.76) | 27.39% ( -0.77) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.47% ( 0.24) | 40.52% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.87% ( 0.21) | 77.12% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 2-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.07)6-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.05)6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.43% Total : 73.22% | 1-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.76% | 1-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.43% Total : 11.01% |
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