SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 2-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
20.49% ( 0.17) | 21.5% ( 0.03) | 58% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 57.49% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.55% ( 0.09) | 40.45% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.17% ( 0.09) | 62.82% ( -0.09) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% ( 0.22) | 33.37% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30% ( 0.24) | 70% ( -0.24) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.29% ( -0.03) | 13.7% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.05% ( -0.06) | 40.94% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 20.49% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 6.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
| 4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
| 5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
| 8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
| 9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
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