SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 65.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
15.17% ( -0.07) | 19.77% ( -0.07) | 65.05% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.35% ( 0.16) | 41.64% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.95% ( 0.16) | 64.04% ( -0.16) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.85% ( 0.01) | 40.14% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.22% ( 0.01) | 76.77% ( -0.01) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.96% ( 0.08) | 12.03% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.48% ( 0.17) | 37.52% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 1-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 15.17% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.77% | 0-2 @ 10.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.64% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.98% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 4.05% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.61% Total : 65.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
| 4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
| 5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
| 8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
| 9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
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