SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 75.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 9.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.97%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.5%), while for a Troyes win it was 2-1 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
9.8% ( -0.03) | 14.43% ( -0.12) | 75.77% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.37% ( 0.56) | 29.63% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.25% ( 0.67) | 50.75% ( -0.66) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.45% ( 0.35) | 40.55% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.85% ( 0.32) | 77.15% ( -0.31) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.51% ( 0.16) | 6.5% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 75.75% ( 0.41) | 24.26% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 9.8% | 1-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 14.43% | 0-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 8.97% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 8.1% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 5.54% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 3.35% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 3.03% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.05)0-6 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)1-6 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)2-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.3% Total : 75.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
| 4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
| 5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
| 8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
| 9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
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