SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Brest |
33.86% ( -0.07) | 28.47% ( 0.09) | 37.67% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.28% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.95% ( -0.32) | 60.05% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.72% ( -0.24) | 80.28% ( 0.25) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.82% ( -0.21) | 33.18% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.21% ( -0.24) | 69.79% ( 0.24) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% ( -0.17) | 30.73% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.01% ( -0.2) | 66.99% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.85% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.46% | 0-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 75 |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 72 |
| 3 | Marseille | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 56 |
| 7 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 56 |
| 8 | Nice | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 51 |
| 9 | Lorient | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | Reims | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 11 | Clermont | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 50 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 42 |
| 14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 35 |
| 15 | Brest | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 35 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 34 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
| 18 | Ajaccio | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 23 |
| 19 | Troyes | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 22 |
| R | Angers | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28 | 74 | -46 | 14 |
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