SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Brest |
29.54% ( -0.64) | 26.9% ( 0.08) | 43.55% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 49.46% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.59% ( -0.55) | 55.4% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.4% ( -0.45) | 76.6% ( 0.45) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.16% ( -0.76) | 33.83% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.5% ( -0.83) | 70.5% ( 0.84) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( 0.04) | 25.24% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.01% ( 0.05) | 59.99% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.54% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 43.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 43 |
| 2 | Nice | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | Brest | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 34 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 33 |
| 5 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 31 |
| 6 | Reims | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
| 7 | Marseille | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 |
| 8 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 26 |
| 9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 22 |
| 11 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
| 14 | Toulouse | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
| 15 | Metz | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 16 |
| 16 | Lyon | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 16 |
| 17 | Clermont | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 14 |
| 18 | Lorient | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 12 |
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