SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
31.67% ( 0.12) | 23.98% ( 0.05) | 44.35% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 60.07% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.92% ( -0.19) | 42.07% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.52% ( -0.19) | 64.47% ( 0.18) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( -0.02) | 25.65% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.45% ( -0.02) | 60.54% ( 0.02) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( -0.15) | 19.19% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.12% ( -0.25) | 50.88% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.67% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 44.35% |
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