SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Reims had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reims | Draw | Lille |
34.11% ( -0.67) | 26.28% ( 0.5) | 39.61% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.03% ( -1.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.41% ( -2.25) | 51.59% ( 2.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.62% ( -1.99) | 73.38% ( 1.99) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( -1.5) | 28.76% ( 1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.4% ( -1.91) | 64.6% ( 1.91) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( -0.93) | 25.56% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.57% ( -1.29) | 60.43% ( 1.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reims | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.11% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.64)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.61% |
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