SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 72.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
72.43% ( 2.98) | 15.73% ( -0.34) | 11.84% ( -2.64) |
| Both teams to score 58.23% ( -7.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.04% ( -5.23) | 29.96% ( 5.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.86% ( -6.58) | 51.14% ( 6.58) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.79% ( -0.69) | 7.21% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.84% ( -1.85) | 26.16% ( 1.85) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.75% ( -7.35) | 37.24% ( 7.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.97% ( -8.04) | 74.03% ( 8.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 2-0 @ 9.28% ( 2.02) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.4)3-0 @ 8.14% ( 1.53)3-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 7.06% ( 1.74)4-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.84)4-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.85)5-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.35)5-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.68)5-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.42)6-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.11)6-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.14)Other @ 4.1% Total : 72.43% | 1-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.77)0-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.74)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.63)Other @ 0.24% Total : 15.73% | 1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.44) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.64)0-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.43)Other @ 1.81% Total : 11.84% |
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