SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Strasbourg |
46.71% ( -0.07) | 26.53% ( 0.05) | 26.76% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.8% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.59% ( -0.18) | 55.41% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.39% ( -0.15) | 76.6% ( 0.15) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.3% ( -0.11) | 23.7% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.17% ( -0.16) | 57.82% ( 0.16) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.96% ( -0.08) | 36.04% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.18% ( -0.09) | 72.82% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.71% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 1.93% Total : 26.76% |
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