SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Nantes |
54.71% ( -1.14) | 22.92% ( 0.14) | 22.37% ( 1) |
| Both teams to score 55.45% ( 0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.55% ( 0.59) | 44.45% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.18% ( 0.57) | 66.82% ( -0.57) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.86% ( -0.19) | 16.15% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.42% ( -0.34) | 45.58% ( 0.34) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.13% ( 1.27) | 33.87% ( -1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.46% ( 1.36) | 70.54% ( -1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.42% Total : 54.71% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.91% | 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.21% Total : 22.37% |
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